I led the Army into New Orleans after Katrina. Why I worry about the next storm.

FEMA should be its own Cabinet-level agency. Emergency management is a mission on its own, not a part-time function of Homeland Security.
Photo collage of silhouettes against a backdrop of destruction from Hurricane Katrina
Katrina made landfall on Monday, Aug. 29, 2005, as a Category 3 hurricane, bombarding New Orleans and overpowering the city’s leveesLeila Register / MSNBC; Getty Images

Katrina made landfall on Monday, Aug. 29, 2005, as a Category 3 hurricane, bombarding New Orleans and overpowering the city’s levees. The flooding that followed submerged 80% of the city and drove thousands of residents from their homes, many to never return.

For years, Katrina was remembered as an indictment of the Bush administration not being sufficiently prepared to immediately respond to an American city in crisis. There is always something that can be done better. But although we learned many lessons from Katrina and the federal response, much of the criticism relies on misinformation.

One of the greatest myths is that the evacuation effort was feeble. The records show otherwise.

To this day, one of the greatest myths about the initial response to Katrina is that residents were not given adequate warning and the evacuation effort was feeble. The records show otherwise.

Ahead of the storm’s landfall, an impressive 80% of residents evacuated inland. Of the 20% who remained, the majority were low income, elderly, disabled, or all three. The same was true of the nearly 1,500 people who were killed when the levees broke.

The collapse of those levees, which the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers later acknowledged were not structurally sound, did what rain and wind could not: destroyed the entire response plan. Interstates and military installations flooded, while the airport lost power. The grid — water, comms and electricity — collapsed.

This is why, after the storm, so much emphasis was placed on designating and providing temporary housing. Because no one should be left to die just because they’ve already fallen on hard times. Yet even these plans, while well intentioned, became the subject of wild speculation and conspiracy theories about government overreach.

As for the warning afforded to New Orleans residents, the federal government provided the best possible storm tracking and advance warnings available at the time. On Friday afternoon, NOAA and National Weather Service forecasting showed the storm could hit New Orleans on Monday morning. That forecasting allowed the White House to make a pre-landfall declaration on Saturday. From there, state and local officials made the mandatory evacuation order. Regrettably, most of the Mississippi and Louisiana National Guard were deployed to Iraq.

What we saw after the storm — and in more recent storms like Harvey and Helene — is that state and local governments are quickly overwhelmed by large hurricanes. Federal assistance and coordination is not a luxury. It’s a necessity. This will become more apparent as global warming continues to heat the Gulf, making tropical storms more powerful, more frequent and hitting closer to home.

Much of that institutional knowledge has been lost and our best practices for disaster response destroyed

There were some things that were made better after Katrina. We worked to standardize emergency response practices across the federal government. We expanded the federal capacity for response, doubling the size of FEMA and designating temporary shelters in hurricane-prone areas. We also began updating our infrastructure, rebuilding levees to withstand storms made more powerful by a warming atmosphere and ocean. There’s a concern now, though, that those rebuilt levees won’t provide the necessary protection if another big storm hits.

Now, much of that institutional knowledge has been lost and our best practices for disaster response destroyed. A third of FEMA’s workforce has been slashed — thanks to President Donald Trump letting Elon Musk run a so-called Department of Government Efficiency. While we had misinformation in 2005, we now have its more malicious cousin, disinformation, too. And that disinformation is being used to siphon away resources that could be used to help Americans during disaster.

Inventing false crime waves, the administration has diverted resources from emergency management to law enforcement to put on a show of force. Whether it be street crime in large cities with Black mayors, or an “invasion” in border states and states with a high migrant population, the playbook is the same.

More will suffer as future storms make landfall. The congressionally appropriated funds that have been repurposed to build sideshows like “Alligator Alcatraz” were taken from FEMA’s budget for temporary shelters and other disaster relief efforts. The question that should be on everyone’s mind now is: What will happen when Americans inevitably and desperately need shelter from a future storm?

On the Gulf Coast, we have a perfect storm brewing as the federal government continues to ignore reality. At the same time DHS is diverting resources from FEMA, the Department of Energy and the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) are allowing corporations to cover the coast in gas export terminals. These dangerous facilities not only add to global warming with their incredible methane emissions, but they hold pressurized combustible gas in the direct path of hurricanes. It doesn’t take a vivid imagination to see what could happen when one of these takes a direct hit from a supercharged storm.

Twenty years after Katrina, we need a return to common sense. That means not putting giant explosives in the path of hurricanes — and it means not diverting funds for disaster relief.

Finally, we must make FEMA a Cabinet-level agency capable of standing on its own. Emergency management is a mission on its own, not a part-time function of Homeland Security. Every family must be prepared to evacuate themselves and their neighbors before the storm, not wait for the government to arrive.

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